The U.S. goods trade deficit in March hit a record high of $162.0 billion, mainly due to a surge in imports.

The U.S. Department of Commerce's Census Bureau released data on April 29th, 2025, showing that the goods trade deficit in March reached a record high of $162.0 billion, an increase of $14.2 billion from February. The main reason was a surge in imports, as companies stocked up in advance to avoid potential tariffs, pushing the import value up to $342.7 billion. Exports increased to $180.8 billion, but the growth was not enough to match the increase in imports, resulting in a wider deficit. This situation reflects how trade is dragging on economic growth, with forecasts predicting a 0.4% annualized decline in GDP for the first quarter.
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04/29 13:02
The U.S. goods trade deficit in March hit a record high of $162.0 billion, mainly due to a surge in imports.
The U.S. Department of Commerce's Census Bureau released data on April 29th, 2025, showing that the goods trade deficit in March reached a record high of $162.0 billion, an increase of $14.2 billion from February. The main reason was a surge in imports, as companies stocked up in advance to avoid potential tariffs, pushing the import value up to $342.7 billion. Exports increased to $180.8 billion, but the growth was not enough to match the increase in imports, resulting in a wider deficit. This situation reflects how trade is dragging on economic growth, with forecasts predicting a 0.4% annualized decline in GDP for the first quarter.
Surge in Imports Drives Up Deficit
In March, the total value of U.S. goods imports reached $342.7 billion, an increase of $16.3 billion compared to February, marking an increase of approximately 5%. According to Census Bureau data, this growth was primarily due to companies importing goods in advance to avoid the U.S. government's upcoming tariff policies. Reports indicate that at the time, the Trump administration threatened to impose comprehensive tariffs on major trading partners. Although some measures were delayed, companies rushed to import goods before the end of the 90-day tariff grace period, leading to a significant increase in import volume.
Additionally, the import of non-monetary gold is also considered a factor contributing to the rise in total imports. Economists point out that such gold imports may statistically exaggerate changes in actual economic activity, potentially overstating the impact on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth. Since imports are a deduction item in GDP calculations, the surge in imports could pressure economic growth in the first quarter.
Moderate Export Growth
Compared to imports, U.S. goods exports in March grew at a relatively moderate pace. The total export value was $180.8 billion, an increase of $2.2 billion compared to February, marking a rise of about 1.2%. Although exports increased, the growth rate was far less than that of imports, leading to an expanded overall trade deficit.
According to data from the U.S. Census Bureau, export growth was mainly driven by increased shipments of industrial supplies and capital goods. However, the export growth was insufficient to offset the strong growth in imports, further widening the trade gap.
Historic Deficit and Economic Context
The $162 billion goods trade deficit this time is the highest monthly deficit on record for the U.S. According to Reuters, this figure reflects the negative impact of trade on economic growth in the first quarter of 2025. The Atlanta Federal Reserve predicts that if gold import and export factors are adjusted, the first-quarter GDP may see an annualized decline of 0.4%.
According to The Economic Times, the market generally expects the U.S. first-quarter GDP annualized growth rate to be only 0.3%, the lowest since the second quarter of 2022. In contrast, the GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2024 was 2.4%. This slowdown is closely related to the widening trade deficit.
Policy Background and Corporate Behavior
The surge in imports is closely related to U.S. government trade policies. During the first quarter, the Trump administration repeatedly indicated new rounds of tariffs on China and other major trading partners. Although some measures were later delayed, companies chose to import goods in advance to avoid potential cost increases.
According to AASTOCKS, manufacturers placed large orders and moved goods into warehouses during the 90-day tariff grace period, leading to a year-on-year surge of 30.8% in March imports. This "rush to import" behavior temporarily increased total imports and put pressure on trade balance.
Official Data Summary
According to data released by the U.S. Census Bureau, the U.S. goods trade data for March 2025 is as follows:
- Goods trade deficit: $162 billion (an increase of $14.2 billion compared to February)
- Total goods imports: $342.7 billion (an increase of $16.3 billion compared to February)
- Total goods exports: $180.8 billion (an increase of $2.2 billion compared to February)
These figures are preliminary estimates, and final numbers will be revised in subsequent reports.