Trump's 90-day tariff postponement did not stabilize the markets: the Asian stocks decline, the gold prices reach a new high, the yen soars to a two-year high

TaiwanBusiness04/11 12:39
Trump's 90-day tariff postponement did not stabilize the markets: the Asian stocks decline, the gold prices reach a new high, the yen soars to a two-year high

On April 9, President Donald Trump announced a 90-day suspension of higher tariffs on 75 countries, excluding China, in an effort to ease trade tensions, but this move failed to boost market confidence. Asian stock markets briefly rebounded but then fell back, with the Nikkei 225 index plunging 5.4%. The safe-haven sentiment drove gold prices to a record high, and the yen reached a two-year high against the dollar. Concerns about the escalating U.S.-China trade war persist, leading to funds flowing into safe-haven assets.

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04/11 12:39

Trump's 90-day tariff postponement did not stabilize the markets: the Asian stocks decline, the gold prices reach a new high, the yen soars to a two-year high

On April 9, President Donald Trump announced a 90-day suspension of higher tariffs on 75 countries, excluding China, in an effort to ease trade tensions, but this move failed to boost market confidence. Asian stock markets briefly rebounded but then fell back, with the Nikkei 225 index plunging 5.4%. The safe-haven sentiment drove gold prices to a record high, and the yen reached a two-year high against the dollar. Concerns about the escalating U.S.-China trade war persist, leading to funds flowing into safe-haven assets.

Asian Stock Markets Rebound and Then Fall, Nikkei Drops Over 5%

On April 9, Trump announced via social media that higher tariffs on goods from 75 countries that have not taken retaliatory actions against the US would be suspended for 90 days, maintaining only a 10% basic rate. This move temporarily boosted global stock markets, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average soaring 2,962 points that day, marking the largest single-day point increase in history, and the MSCI Asia Pacific Index also rising 5.6%.

However, as Trump reiterated on April 10 that tariffs would be reinstated or even increased if no agreement is reached, market sentiment quickly shifted to caution. On April 11, Asian stock markets generally fell, with the Nikkei 225 Index plunging 5.4% in early trading after a 9.1% surge the previous day, erasing most of its gains. South Korea's KOSPI Index fell 1.64%, and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index fell more than 2%. According to ABC News, Japan's TOPIX Index also fell 3.5%.

The Chinese market was relatively stable due to Beijing's announcement of economic stimulus measures, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rising 2%, the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.6%, and the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.2%.

Safe-Haven Demand Increases, Gold Prices Hit Record High

Amid concerns over an escalating trade war, investors turned to safe-haven assets like gold. On April 10, New York spot gold prices jumped 3.03%, closing at $3,176.23 per ounce, a record high. According to Business Today, gold prices further rose 1.3% in early Asian trading on April 11, surpassing the $3,200 mark to reach $3,215.73 per ounce.

Dominic Schnider, head of commodities at UBS Wealth Management, explained that the momentum behind gold's rise is due to market expectations of further easing policies by the Federal Reserve and the ongoing trend of central banks buying gold. Nikos Tzabouras, an analyst at Tradu.com, noted that gold's safe-haven appeal is regaining market favor.

Yen Rises to 0.233, Hits Nearly Two-Year High

As a traditional safe-haven currency, the yen attracted significant capital inflows during times of market turmoil. According to the exchange rate posted by Taiwan Bank, the yen's cash selling rate rose to 0.2330 on April 11, the highest in nearly two years. Compared to the low of 0.2047 in July 2024, the amount of yen that NT$100,000 can buy has decreased by nearly 60,000.

The yen's exchange rate against the US dollar also rose to 142.87, reaching a nearly two-year high. The US dollar index fell below the 100 mark for the first time in two years. According to United Daily News, funds also moved into other safe-haven assets such as the Swiss franc, indicating market concerns about US fiscal and monetary policy uncertainties.

Tariff Policy Fluctuations Rattle Market Confidence

Despite the Trump administration's willingness to negotiate with multiple countries and the fact that 75 countries have proactively contacted the US, tariffs on China have been further increased. The White House confirmed that the overall tariff on Chinese goods has reached 145%. China announced a 125% tariff on US goods, stating it would not escalate further but emphasized that "the door is open for talks; if there is a fight, China will accompany to the end."

In a cabinet meeting, Trump mentioned that if a mutually beneficial agreement cannot be reached, the US will reinstate the original or even higher tariffs. He did not specify whether the 90-day suspension would be extended, adding, "We'll have to see what happens then."

According to Yahoo Finance, US stocks experienced a historic rebound after Trump's announcement of the tariff suspension but subsequently fell again due to policy uncertainty. The S&P 500 Index once fell 6%, the Nasdaq dropped about 7%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell over 2,100 points.

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