New York Stock Exchange Trader Tuchman: Using Technical Analysis to Stabilize Market Operations Amidst Turbulent White House Policies

Taiwan • Business • 04/25 15:04
New York Stock Exchange Trader Tuchman: Using Technical Analysis to Stabilize Market Operations Amidst Turbulent White House Policies

Peter Tuchman, a senior trader at the New York Stock Exchange, has profited amidst the White House's policy chaos by using technical analysis and short-term trading strategies. He criticized the White House's unpredictable policies as "economic terrorism" and advised traders to scale down their positions, set stop-loss orders, and use technical indicators such as the Advance-Decline Indicator, RSI, and EMA to navigate market volatility. Tuchman emphasized the importance of risk management and suggested that long-term investors should hold off and buy on dips.

Key Updates

04/26 02:00

Tesla and Apple both receive a buy rating, with Tesla's target price set at $350 and Apple's at $250, with tariffs having a limited impact.

The U.S. easing of self-driving car regulations has pushed Tesla's stock price up by 18% this week. Analysts have issued a "buy" rating with a target price of $350, and there are plans to expand self-driving taxi services to multiple cities. Apple is facing tariff uncertainties, but analysts are maintaining an "outperform" rating with a target price of $250 due to its adjustments in the supply chain and a stable outlook for product demand.

04/25 23:01

Tech stocks propel US markets to a four-day winning streak, as Trump eases regulations on self-driving cars, causing Tesla's stock price to soar nearly 10%.

On April 26, 2025, the major U.S. stock indices closed higher for the fourth day in a row, driven by tech stocks. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones indices all rose this week, with tech giants performing exceptionally well. Tesla's stock price jumped 9.8% in one day due to the Trump administration easing self-driving car regulations. This policy change is intended to boost innovation in self-driving technology and strengthen the United States' standing in global competition.

04/25 21:30

Alphabet's financial report surpassed expectations and a $70 billion stock buyback plan boosted the stock price, with the technology sector leading the charge.

In the last week of April 2025, Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) experienced a stock price increase of over 4% due to first-quarter earnings that exceeded expectations and a $70 billion stock buyback plan, which drove the S&P 500 index to close higher for four consecutive days as the technology sector strengthened. The company's growth momentum in AI and cloud businesses has earned it a spot on market observers' "bullpen" list, highlighting its relative advantage in the current market environment.

04/25 18:32

2025 Turmoil in the U.S. Airline Industry: Budget Airlines Revamp Business Models to Tackle Economic Challenges

At the beginning of 2025, the U.S. airline industry, amid economic uncertainty and the escalating U.S.-China trade war, saw major airlines reduce their financial forecasts and cut flights. Low-cost carriers such as Spirit, Frontier, and Southwest were hit particularly hard and are shifting towards providing high value-added services to address the decline in demand. This shift reflects changes in market dynamics and the survival strategies of low-cost carriers.

04/25 18:32

Ed Yardeni, a senior market strategist, predicts a robust recovery for the U.S. market throughout the 2020s.

In April 2025, senior market strategist Ed Yardeni pointed out that despite trade tensions and policy uncertainties, the U.S. market might experience a strong recovery reminiscent of the "Roaring Twenties" of the 1920s. This perspective is based on recent stock market gains, a more moderate policy tone, and the resilience of economic fundamentals. If the policy environment stabilizes, the market is expected to get back on its post-pandemic growth path. The U.S. unemployment rate is low, consumer confidence is stable, and the shift in policy tone has also prompted a market rebound. The Federal Reserve might lower interest rates to counter the economic slowdown, and UBS recommends reallocating assets towards the euro, yen, and gold to manage volatility.

04/25 15:04

New York Stock Exchange Trader Tuchman: Using Technical Analysis to Stabilize Market Operations Amidst Turbulent White House Policies

Peter Tuchman, a senior trader at the New York Stock Exchange, has profited amidst the White House's policy chaos by using technical analysis and short-term trading strategies. He criticized the White House's unpredictable policies as "economic terrorism" and advised traders to scale down their positions, set stop-loss orders, and use technical indicators such as the Advance-Decline Indicator, RSI, and EMA to navigate market volatility. Tuchman emphasized the importance of risk management and suggested that long-term investors should hold off and buy on dips.

04/25 15:04

Disagreements in US-China trade talks are causing market uncertainty, resulting in early volatility in US stocks, and tech stocks showing mixed results.

On April 25, 2025, there was a discrepancy in the US-China trade negotiations. President Donald Trump claimed that talks had begun, while Chinese officials denied it, resulting in cautious market sentiment. In early trading, US stocks fell, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 204 points and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index down 0.5%. TSMC ADRs fell 0.9%, Nvidia rose 1.3%, Alphabet increased 2.9% on strong earnings, and Intel dropped 8.2% on poor financial forecasts.

04/25 10:31

The Chinese Ministry of Commerce's statement called for the United States to remove tariffs, leading to significant fluctuations in the US stock and crypto markets.

On April 24, 2025, Spokesperson He Yadong of China's Ministry of Commerce announced that there are no ongoing trade negotiations between China and the United States, demanding that the U.S. cancel all unilaterally imposed tariffs. This statement contradicts the conciliatory signals sent by U.S. President Trump, causing declines in the U.S. stock, bond, and cryptocurrency markets, reflecting concerns in the market about global economic uncertainty.

04/25 03:04

Strong Rebound in U.S. Stocks: Trump's Put Option Signal and Shift in U.S.-China Trade Rhetoric Drive Tech Stocks Up

On April 24, 2025, the U.S. stock market surged across the board, with the four major indices hitting recent highs, led by technology stocks. The market was buoyed by the "Trump put" concept, a financial market belief that Trump would step in to stabilize the market during times of volatility. The White House adopted a more conciliatory tone regarding U.S.-China trade negotiations, despite China's denial that negotiations are ongoing. The stock prices of AI chip leader Nvidia and other tech giants rose. Trump denied not having discussed tariffs with China, emphasizing that there has been contact between the two sides.

04/25 02:34

U.S. stocks have rallied for three straight days: Dow Jones breaks through 40,000 points, PHLX Semiconductor Index soars 5.63%, TSMC's ADR jumps 4.04%

The U.S. stock market has risen for three consecutive days, as the Dow Jones index surged 486.83 points on April 24, closing at 40,093.40, breaking the 40,000-point mark for the first time. Technology stocks led the gains, as the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index soared 5.63% and TSMC ADR rose 4.04%. The market was influenced by mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials about rate cuts, along with Trump's calls for rate cuts and his announcement of new tariff measures. Trump claimed to have held talks with China, but China denied that trade negotiations had begun, leaving the trade outlook uncertain.

White House Policy Chaos Sparks Market Turmoil

In early 2025, the U.S. stock market was soaring, with the S&P 500 index reaching an intraday high of 6,147 points on February 19. However, as former President Trump revisited the topic of imposing tariffs, market sentiment nosedived, with the S&P 500 index plummeting nearly 19% in just a few weeks. Tuckman pointed out that this decline was not due to a deterioration in fundamentals but rather the result of inconsistent and erratic messaging from the White House.

"This is entirely due to the White House's poor communication," Tuckman said in an interview. He criticized the Trump administration for being tough on China on one hand and suddenly softening its stance on the other, with inconsistent attitudes towards Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, leaving the market in confusion. He even described this policy style as "economic destabilization," believing that such uncertainty has caused significant harm to the market.

Technical Analysis Becomes a Trading Tool

Despite market volatility, Tuckman believes this is the time for short-term traders to showcase their skills. He noted that in the current high-volatility environment, the role of technical indicators is amplified, and trading opportunities frequently arise. "We can complete our trades by 11:30 AM every day because technical factors are working perfectly," he said.

Tuckman shared several technical indicators he frequently uses in practice:

  • Advance-Decline Line: By tracking the number of daily advancing and declining stocks, it assesses the overall market breadth and trend direction.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum indicator that traditionally considers above 70 as overbought and below 30 as oversold. However, Tuckman prefers using a range of 80 to 20 during high volatility to expand trading space.
  • Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA), the EMA is more sensitive to recent price changes, helping to quickly capture trend reversals. He particularly focuses on the 9-day, 15-day, 30-day, 65-day, and 200-day EMAs.

Additionally, he marks support and resistance lines as references for entry and exit points.

Strict Risk Control: Scaling Down Positions and Setting Stop Losses

Beyond technical analysis, Tuckman emphasizes the importance of risk management. He noted that even if all technical conditions are met, the market can still reverse sharply due to a sudden tweet from the White House. "That's the current situation," he said resignedly.

To cope with such policy risks, Tuckman suggests traders should:

  • Scale down positions: Lower the impact of a single trade on overall capital.
  • Set tighter stop-loss points: Quickly cut losses if the market reverses, avoiding larger losses.
  • Take profits quickly: Close positions once the expected target is reached, without being greedy.

These strategies help maintain flexibility and discipline in a market with high uncertainty.

Long-term Investors Should Wait and Strategically Buy on Dips

For long-term investors, Tuckman advises temporarily waiting. He believes that before policy risks become clear, it's difficult to grasp the rhythm of long-term operations. However, if there is idle capital, it can be considered to enter the market in batches during pullbacks, gradually building positions to reduce average costs.

He reminds long-term investors not to review their portfolios too frequently to avoid making emotional decisions due to short-term fluctuations.

Washington Internal Conflict Intensifies Market Anxiety

Tuckman's criticism is not unfounded. According to a New York Times report, the Trump administration recently experienced intense internal conflict over Musk's role in the DOGE (Digital Governance and Economy Committee). Musk clashed with Secretary of State Rubio and Treasury Secretary Besant in White House meetings, even engaging in a heated exchange. This infighting further deepens market concerns about policy stability.

Additionally, differing stances on tariff policy between the Treasury and Commerce Departments have left the business community uncertain. Executives from retail giants like Walmart, Home Depot, and Target recently visited the White House, warning that tariffs would drive up prices and disrupt supply chains, indicating that policy uncertainty has had a substantial impact on the tangible economy.

Derivatives Market Reflects Panic Sentiment

Market anxiety is also reflected in derivatives trading. According to John Lothian News, trading volumes of zero-day-to-expiration (Zero DTE) and short-term options have surged, indicating that investors are inclined to adopt more flexible, tactical operations. Retail investors currently account for nearly half of the market trading volume, showing that the market participation structure is rapidly changing.

The asset size of options-linked ETFs has skyrocketed from $30 billion in 2020 to $200 billion, indicating a growing demand for risk management tools in the market.

References

People Also Ask...

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Tuckman described the White House's policy as 'economic terrorism.' How does this affect market confidence?

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