US-China Trade Tensions Ease: Exporters Resume Shipping, European Stocks and Oil Prices Rise Amid Tariff Talks in Switzerland

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet China's Vice Premier He Lifeng in Geneva on May 10-11 to discuss reducing tariffs, currently up to 145% on Chinese imports. Chinese exporters are resuming shipments to the U.S., and European stock indices and oil prices have risen in response. The talks, facilitated by Switzerland, aim to de-escalate the trade war. The U.S. is considering lowering tariffs to 50-54%, and the resumption of trade is driven by both optimism and practical concerns of U.S. retailers facing inventory shortages.
Key Updates
05/09 09:02
US-China Trade Tensions Ease: Exporters Resume Shipping, European Stocks and Oil Prices Rise Amid Tariff Talks in Switzerland
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet China's Vice Premier He Lifeng in Geneva on May 10-11 to discuss reducing tariffs, currently up to 145% on Chinese imports. Chinese exporters are resuming shipments to the U.S., and European stock indices and oil prices have risen in response. The talks, facilitated by Switzerland, aim to de-escalate the trade war. The U.S. is considering lowering tariffs to 50-54%, and the resumption of trade is driven by both optimism and practical concerns of U.S. retailers facing inventory shortages.
US and China Prepare for Tariff Talks in Switzerland
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer are scheduled to meet with China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng in Geneva on May 10–11. The talks, hosted by Switzerland, are aimed at de-escalating the trade war that has seen the U.S. impose tariffs of up to 145% on Chinese imports, with China retaliating with levies of up to 125% on American goods.
According to U.S. officials cited by multiple outlets, the Trump administration is considering reducing the 145% tariff to a range between 50% and 54%. President Trump hinted at the move during a meeting with UK officials, stating, “It’s at 145 so we know it’s coming down,” while expressing optimism about future relations with China.
The Swiss Foreign Ministry confirmed its role in facilitating the dialogue, positioning the talks as a diplomatic win for the neutral country. The discussions are expected to cover not only broad tariff reductions but also product-specific duties, export controls, and the recent removal of de minimis exemptions on low-value imports.
Chinese Exporters Resume Shipments to the U.S.
After a sharp decline in trade activity in April, Chinese exporters are beginning to resume shipments to the United States. According to logistics data from Flexport, sailings from China to the U.S. dropped by 60% last month, and shipping operator Hapag-Lloyd reported a 30% cancellation rate on China-bound cargo.
However, since late April, freight forwarders have reported a surge in bookings for mid-May shipments. Exporters serving major U.S. retailers, including Walmart, confirmed they are preparing to restart deliveries. A toy manufacturer from Dongguan noted that while volumes remain below pre-tariff levels, American clients are restocking inventories to avoid potential shortages.
The resumption of trade is driven not only by optimism over tariff reductions but also by practical concerns. U.S. retailers face the risk of empty shelves if goods such as toys, home furnishings, and electronics are not shipped by June. “Companies are running out of inventory and Trump has toned down his China talk,” said Jonathan Chitayat, Asia head of Genimex Group.
European Markets React Positively
European stock markets responded positively to the developments. The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.3% on Friday, with Germany’s DAX gaining 0.7%. Energy and basic resources sectors led the gains, rising 1.8% and 1%, respectively.
The STOXX 600 is on track for its fourth consecutive weekly gain, up nearly 14% from its early April low. Analysts attribute the rally to growing investor confidence that the U.S. will strike trade deals to avoid further economic disruption. Corporate earnings have also supported the market, with 58.4% of companies in the index beating first-quarter earnings estimates, according to Refinitiv IBES data.
Oil Prices Climb on Trade Optimism
Oil markets also reflected the improving sentiment. On Thursday, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose by 3.05% to $59.84 per barrel, while Brent crude climbed 2.72% to $62.78. Prices continued to edge higher on Friday, with WTI trading at $60.33 and Brent at $63.27 as of 07:31 GMT.
The gains were driven by expectations that the U.S.-China talks could lead to a reduction in tariffs, potentially boosting global trade and energy demand. “If the two set a date to start formal trade negotiations and agree to ratchet down their current steep tariffs... crude could stack on another $2–$3 per barrel,” said Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights.
China’s crude oil imports in April were up 7.5% year-on-year, despite a month-on-month dip, as state refiners stockpiled supplies during maintenance outages. The data provided a further boost to oil market sentiment ahead of the Geneva talks.
Broader Trade Developments
The U.S. has also finalized a limited trade agreement with the United Kingdom, reducing tariffs on British cars and allowing some steel and aluminum imports tariff-free. The deal, announced by President Trump and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, is the first such agreement since the U.S. imposed sweeping tariffs earlier this year.
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick stated that while the U.S. plans to roll out dozens of trade deals in the coming month, a 10% baseline tariff on most countries will remain in place. Meanwhile, the European Union is preparing its own response, with the European Commission unveiling a list of over $100 billion in U.S. goods that could face retaliatory tariffs if talks fail.
Export and Trade Data
China’s total exports rose 8.1% in April compared to the previous year, exceeding expectations despite a 21% drop in shipments to the U.S. Imports fell 0.2% year-on-year. Analysts attribute the export surge to frontloading by buyers ahead of potential tariff hikes.
Freightos, a freight-booking platform, reported that container shipping costs between Shanghai and Los Angeles ranged from $2,640 to $3,781 in early May. Prices are expected to rise by $500 per container after May 15 as demand recovers.
References
- US and China to hold high-level talks in bid to ease tariff tensions
- Trump administration may half 145% China tariff to 50% next week: Report - Times of India
- As trade talks begin, Chinese exporters prepare to get goods moving to US again
- China–US talks place Swiss diplomacy on centre stage
- Oil Prices Rise on Hopes of U.S. Trade Deals | OilPrice.com
- Oil Jumps on Trade Deal Optimism | OilPrice.com
- China's exports to the US sink but beat forecasts as tariffs bite
- Investors reload US assets as Trump anticipates China trade talks
- Trump tariffs live updates: Trump team said to eye cutting tariffs to 60% at US-China talks