U.S. stocks have risen for three straight days: Corporate earnings have exceeded expectations, diminishing concerns over U.S.-China trade tensions

TaiwanBusiness04/25 01:01
U.S. stocks have risen for three straight days: Corporate earnings have exceeded expectations, diminishing concerns over U.S.-China trade tensions

On April 24, 2025, the U.S. stock market increased for the third straight day, with technology stocks leading the way. Despite the lack of progress in U.S.-China trade talks and persistent tariff uncertainties, corporate earnings surpassed expectations, fueling investor optimism. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices climbed 2% and 2.74%, respectively, and the Dow Jones index jumped nearly 500 points. The market temporarily set aside trade war worries amid robust corporate profits and expectations of potential Federal Reserve monetary policy easing.

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04/25 01:01

U.S. stocks have risen for three straight days: Corporate earnings have exceeded expectations, diminishing concerns over U.S.-China trade tensions

On April 24, 2025, the U.S. stock market increased for the third straight day, with technology stocks leading the way. Despite the lack of progress in U.S.-China trade talks and persistent tariff uncertainties, corporate earnings surpassed expectations, fueling investor optimism. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices climbed 2% and 2.74%, respectively, and the Dow Jones index jumped nearly 500 points. The market temporarily set aside trade war worries amid robust corporate profits and expectations of potential Federal Reserve monetary policy easing.

Tech Stocks Lead, Major Indices Rise

U.S. stocks closed higher again on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 486.83 points, or 1.2%, to close at 40,093.40 points; the S&P 500 Index rose 108.91 points, or 2%, to close at 5,484.77 points; and the Nasdaq Composite Index surged 457.99 points, or 2.74%, to close at 17,166.04 points. This marks the third consecutive trading day of gains for the three major indices, with cumulative increases of over 5%, 6%, and 8%, respectively.

Tech stocks have been the driving force behind this rebound. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surged 5.6%, with TSMC ADR and NVIDIA rising 4% and 3.6%, respectively. Alphabet (Google's parent company) announced better-than-expected earnings after the market closed, further boosting market confidence. AI software company ServiceNow saw its stock price soar 15.5% due to earnings exceeding expectations.

Strong Earnings Season, Corporate Profits Bolster Market

According to data from the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG), 157 S&P 500 component companies have reported earnings so far, with 74% exceeding market expectations. Analysts now estimate an overall corporate profit growth rate of 8.9% year-over-year, higher than the 8.0% forecast in early April.

Some companies like ServiceNow and Hasbro saw significant stock price increases due to strong performance in AI and gaming businesses. Conversely, companies like Procter & Gamble (P&G), PepsiCo, and American Airlines revised their financial forecasts downward due to weak consumer spending and tariff uncertainties, with stock prices falling 3.7%, 4.9%, and over 2%, respectively.

Despite mixed earnings performance, overall corporate profit resilience has become a key factor supporting the stock market. Market strategists point out that investors are focusing on corporate fundamentals, temporarily ignoring policy and geopolitical uncertainties.

Tariff Policy Uncertainty, Market Reacts Cautiously

Despite the stock market's rise, concerns about tariff policy remain unresolved. U.S. President Trump recently stated that trade negotiations with China are ongoing, but China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs denied any consultations between the two sides. U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent mentioned that the U.S. has no intention of unilaterally reducing tariffs and emphasized that a comprehensive agreement may take two to three years.

Murphy & Sylvest market strategist Paul Nolte noted that the rise in chip stocks is partly due to "easing tariff rhetoric," as the chip industry has long been a focal point of the U.S.-China trade dispute. STMicroelectronics also stated that while no panic reactions from customers have been observed, escalating trade tensions could impact the automotive industry.

Additionally, Deutsche Bank's strategy team lowered the year-end target for the S&P 500 to 6,150 points and reduced the 2025 corporate earnings per share estimate from $282 to $240, citing the potential impact of tariffs not yet fully reflected.

Economic Data Shows Resilience, Market Sentiment Improves

Recent U.S. economic data shows March durable goods orders jumped 9.2% month-over-month, far exceeding the expected 2.1%; initial jobless claims were 222,000, in line with market expectations. These data indicate that the U.S. economy remains resilient, further supporting market sentiment.

The VIX index, a gauge of market fear, dropped nearly 2 points to 26.47, the lowest level this month. Expectations for the Federal Reserve to potentially cut interest rates earlier have also increased. Federal Reserve official Beth Hammack stated that if supported by data, interest rates could be adjusted as early as June.

Investors Focus on Corporate Fundamentals, Short-term Sentiment Stabilizes

Despite significant uncertainty in trade policy, investors are currently focusing on corporate earnings and economic data. The strong performance of tech stocks and profit growth of AI-related companies are the main drivers of the market rebound.

Market watchers note that despite little progress in U.S.-China trade talks, the stability of corporate profits and the Federal Reserve's policy flexibility provide short-term support for the market. The market will continue to closely monitor policy developments and changes in corporate financial forecasts in the future.

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