The new US tariff policy will significantly increase new car prices by April 2025.

In April 2025, new car prices in the United States increased due to a 25% import tariff, with the average transaction price rising by 2.5% compared to March, making it the second highest for the same period in nearly a decade. The tariff has affected imported vehicles from multiple countries, driven by consumer expectations and supply chain pressures. Some manufacturers, such as Ford, have already increased prices on models made in Mexico. Automakers like Nissan and Toyota are adjusting their production strategies to deal with the tariff impact. The UK has obtained lower tariff treatment, while countries such as Japan are facing negotiation challenges. Prices are likely to rise further in the coming months.
Key Updates
05/12 21:30
The new US tariff policy will significantly increase new car prices by April 2025.
In April 2025, new car prices in the United States increased due to a 25% import tariff, with the average transaction price rising by 2.5% compared to March, making it the second highest for the same period in nearly a decade. The tariff has affected imported vehicles from multiple countries, driven by consumer expectations and supply chain pressures. Some manufacturers, such as Ford, have already increased prices on models made in Mexico. Automakers like Nissan and Toyota are adjusting their production strategies to deal with the tariff impact. The UK has obtained lower tariff treatment, while countries such as Japan are facing negotiation challenges. Prices are likely to rise further in the coming months.
Background on Tariff Policy: 25% Import Tax Fully Implemented
Starting April 3rd, 2025, the United States will impose a 25% tariff on imported vehicles from several trade partner countries, extending to most auto parts by May 3rd. This policy, led by former President Trump, aims to reduce the trade deficit and promote domestic manufacturing. Although some countries like the UK have received special treatment, enjoying an annual quota of 100,000 vehicles with a reduced tariff rate of 10%, most countries, including Japan, Mexico, and Canada, still face full tariff pressure.
According to Business Weekly, the Trump administration emphasized that British cars like Rolls-Royce and Bentley are part of a high-end niche market with no direct competition with American domestic brands, thus receiving exceptional treatment. In contrast, the trade deficit between Japan and the US stands at $68.5 billion, with significant disagreements on automotive and agricultural issues, leading to slow negotiation progress.
Price Data: New and Used Car Prices Rise Simultaneously
According to data from Kelley Blue Book under Cox Automotive, the average transaction price of new cars in the US rose by 2.5% in April 2025 after discounts and promotions, significantly higher than the average 1.1% increase during the same period in previous years. This is one of the largest monthly increases since the factory shutdowns caused by the pandemic in 2020.
Meanwhile, the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index by Cox shows that US wholesale used car prices increased by 4.9% year-over-year and 2.7% month-over-month in April, reflecting that the overall pressure on car market prices is spreading to the used market.
Cox Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke pointed out that the current nationwide dealer inventory has dropped below 2.6 million vehicles, and tight supply may further drive up prices in the coming months.
Consumer Behavior and Dealer Response
Although some automakers have not fully raised suggested retail prices, consumer expectations of future price increases have led to an early surge in car purchase demand. Cox Executive Analyst Erin Keating stated that even if automakers maintain prices, consumer buying behavior and dealer-level pricing strategies still lead to price increases for some models.
For example, Ford has notified dealers of price increases of up to $2,000 for its Mexico-made models, including the Mustang Mach-E electric SUV, Maverick pickup, and Bronco Sport, which are directly affected by the 25% tariff.
Todd Szott, a partner at Szott Automotive Group in Michigan, noted that although overall prices remain stable, the proportion of promotions and discounts has dropped to the lowest level since the summer of 2024, indicating that manufacturers are gradually tightening their pricing strategies.
Automaker Strategy Adjustments and Supply Chain Changes
Facing the new tariff environment, several automakers have begun adjusting their global production and supply chain layouts. Nissan has temporarily halted exports of SUVs from Mexico to the US and is reassessing its North American production capacity. Toyota stated it will maintain its current US production scale and focus on reducing fixed costs while closely monitoring further developments in US tariff policy.
According to Yahoo Finance, Japanese government officials revealed that an unnamed Japanese automaker is losing approximately $1 million per hour due to the tariffs. Toyota estimates that if calculated at 730 hours per month, the tariffs will cause a loss of $1.2 billion.
Additionally, in response to pressure from the US market, Honda has shifted production of the Civic hybrid from Japan to the US, while Mazda has stopped exporting models produced at its Alabama plant to Canada due to retaliatory tariffs.
UK-US Agreement and Treatment Differences for Other Countries
Unlike most countries, the UK has received more lenient treatment in its bilateral trade agreement with the US. According to the agreement, the US will reduce the import tariff on UK cars from 27.5% to 10% and set an annual duty-free quota of 100,000 vehicles. Mike Hawes, President of the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), stated that this agreement provides long-term stable export prospects for the UK automotive industry.
However, Trump explicitly stated that the same treatment would not be offered to other countries, emphasizing that UK models are "very limited ultra-luxury cars" with no direct competition with US manufacturers. This makes it difficult for major exporting countries like Japan to emulate the UK model, limiting negotiation space.
Market Supply and Demand and Future Price Trends
Although some automakers maintain price stability through promotional activities, the overall market supply-demand imbalance has started to put pressure on prices. Cox pointed out that if supply continues to tighten, prices may rise further in the coming months. According to its estimates, new car prices directly affected by the 25% tariff may increase by 10% to 15%, while models not fully affected may also rise by 5%.
Paul Zimmermann, a partner at Matick Automotive Group, stated that although current inventory remains healthy, if importers further cut deliveries, the supply chain may hit a "breaking point."
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